Thin-Slicing the NBA
Eye on Gambling has an article on “Thin-Slicing” (A concept from Malcom Gladwell’s book “Blink,” which is essentially breaking down decision making to a few key factors) and whether or not it is possible to apply the concept to NBA wagering.
In a nutshell, Dean Oliver, author of “Basketball on Paper” has it narrowed down to:
1) Effective Field Goal Percentage
2) Turnover Rate
3) Offensive Rebounding Rate
4) Getting to the Free Throw Line
MNF – Indy at New England
Manning is 2-9 against the Pats in his career, but this season he’s got a defense to balance out the Colts side of the game.
Factor in the ever-diminishing-in-importance bye week, New England’s injury problems and one big monkey to get off his back and you’ve got a solid win by the Colts.
Our money is on Indy tonight laying the 4.
Take Indianapolis -4.
